QB · LV
Kirk Cousins
Next: Week 10, SEA at LV, .
Passing yards
Consistent vs 42 quarterbacks · last 16 games, adjusted for schedule and this week · number on each bar = games
Calculator: payouts for one or two bets
A middle: Over a lower line and Under a higher line, both win in between. Set a bet to None to price a single bet. Odds are American (for example -110 or +150).
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| Factor | yds |
|---|---|
| Statistics | 259.8 |
| Matchup | −43.3 |
| Weather | 0 |
| Coach / team | +2.2 |
| Rest / bye | 0 |
| Game time | +8.3 |
| Injuries / lineup | +20.3 |
| News | 0 |
| Projection | 247.3 |
Why these numbers
- Statistics: Last 16 games. Schedule-adjusted: the defenses he faced allowed 2% less than average, so his raw 254.0 counts as 259.8. Streaky: his recent games have predicted his next game better than his longer average, so recent games count more.
- Matchup: SEA allows 17% less to the whole offense than the league average, over 9 games (weighted for sample size).
- Weather: Indoor game: no weather effect.
- Coach / team: Kubiak's offense vs Macdonald's defense: no meetings since 2018. Scheme: West Coast (Shanahan tree) offenses vs Multiple / disguise defenses, 238 games since 2018, 1% above expectation.
- Rest / bye: Not coming off a bye.
- Game time: This game is in the late window. In his 11 games in that window (of his last 33), he was 7% above his usual, schedule-adjusted. Weighted for sample size.
- Injuries / lineup: Top targets: back to full strength, after being short in 9 of his last 16 games (league-wide −5% in 1164 games; his own games: −23% in 26 without vs 7 with). Effect +9%. Offensive line: back to full strength, after being short in 5 of his last 16 games (league-wide −1% in 1851 games). Effect +0%. SEA secondary: back to full strength, after being short in 7 of his last 16 games (league-wide −1% in 1959 games). Effect +0%.
- News: Not connected yet (X news). Injury reports are counted under Injuries / lineup. Counted as 0.
Passing touchdowns
Consistent vs 40 quarterbacks · last 16 games · number on each bar = games
At least one: 97%, fair odds -3444 (adjusted for this week)
| Factor | TD |
|---|---|
| Statistics | 1.87 |
| Matchup | −0.38 |
| Weather | 0 |
| Coach / team | −0.03 |
| Rest / bye | 0 |
| Game time | +0.26 |
| Injuries / lineup | +0.24 |
| News | 0 |
| Projection | 1.96 |
Why these numbers
- Statistics: Last 16 games. Schedule-adjusted: the defenses he faced allowed 1% more than average, so his raw 1.89 counts as 1.87. Streaky: his recent games have predicted his next game better than his longer average, so recent games count more.
- Matchup: SEA allows 20% less to the whole offense than the league average, over 9 games (weighted for sample size).
- Weather: Indoor game: no weather effect.
- Coach / team: Kubiak's offense vs Macdonald's defense: no meetings since 2018. Scheme: West Coast (Shanahan tree) offenses vs Multiple / disguise defenses, 238 games since 2018, 2% below expectation.
- Rest / bye: Not coming off a bye.
- Game time: This game is in the late window. In his 11 games in that window (of his last 33), he was 33% above his usual, schedule-adjusted. Weighted for sample size.
- Injuries / lineup: Top targets: back to full strength, after being short in 9 of his last 16 games (league-wide −8% in 1164 games; his own games: −40% in 26 without vs 7 with). Effect +17%. Offensive line: back to full strength, after being short in 5 of his last 16 games (league-wide +1% in 1851 games). Effect −0%. SEA secondary: back to full strength, after being short in 7 of his last 16 games (league-wide −2% in 1959 games). Effect −0%.
- News: Not connected yet (X news). Injury reports are counted under Injuries / lineup. Counted as 0.
Rushing yards
Boom or bust vs 25 quarterbacks · last 16 games, adjusted for schedule and this week · number on each bar = games
Calculator: payouts for one or two bets
A middle: Over a lower line and Under a higher line, both win in between. Set a bet to None to price a single bet. Odds are American (for example -110 or +150).
Bet a
Bet b
| Factor | yds |
|---|---|
| Statistics | 0.3 |
| Matchup | −0.0 |
| Weather | 0 |
| Coach / team | −0.0 |
| Rest / bye | 0 |
| Game time | −0.1 |
| Injuries / lineup | 0 |
| News | 0 |
| Projection | 0.2 |
Why these numbers
- Statistics: Last 16 games. Schedule-adjusted: the defenses he faced allowed 108% more than average, so his raw 0.6 counts as 0.3. Steady: his longer average has predicted his next game better than his last few games, so all 16 count nearly equally.
- Matchup: SEA allows 4% less to quarterbacks than the league average, over 9 games (weighted for sample size).
- Weather: Indoor game: no weather effect.
- Coach / team: Kubiak's offense vs Macdonald's defense: no meetings since 2018. Scheme: West Coast (Shanahan tree) offenses vs Multiple / disguise defenses, 238 games since 2018, 2% below expectation.
- Rest / bye: Not coming off a bye.
- Game time: This game is in the late window. In his 11 games in that window (of his last 33), he was 196% below his usual, schedule-adjusted. Weighted for sample size.
- Injuries / lineup: Offensive line: back to full strength, after being short in 5 of his last 16 games (league-wide −4% in 1851 games). Effect +1%. SEA defensive front: Leonard Williams (Out, stinger) not expected to play (measured per player, weighted for sample size, snap share and how good he has been (Leonard Williams: his team −46% in 1 games without him vs 28 with, 3.0 tackles a game net of misses (unit starters: 4.1)); already the case in 4 of his last 16 games). Effect −2%.
- News: Not connected yet (X news). Injury reports are counted under Injuries / lineup. Counted as 0.
Anytime touchdown
Moderate vs 26 quarterbacks · last 16 games · number on each bar = games
Anytime touchdown: 24%, fair odds +318 (adjusted for this week)
| Factor | TD |
|---|---|
| Statistics | 0.19 |
| Matchup | 0 |
| Weather | 0 |
| Coach / team | 0 |
| Rest / bye | 0 |
| Game time | +0.03 |
| Injuries / lineup | 0 |
| News | 0 |
| Projection | 0.22 |
Why these numbers
- Statistics: Last 16 games. Schedule-adjusted: the defenses he faced allowed 4% less than average, so his raw 0.19 counts as 0.19. Steady: his longer average has predicted his next game better than his last few games, so all 16 count nearly equally.
- Matchup: SEA allows 0% more to quarterbacks than the league average, over 9 games (weighted for sample size).
- Weather: Indoor game: no weather effect.
- Coach / team: Kubiak's offense vs Macdonald's defense: no meetings since 2018. Scheme: West Coast (Shanahan tree) offenses vs Multiple / disguise defenses, 238 games since 2018, 1% below expectation.
- Rest / bye: Not coming off a bye.
- Game time: This game is in the late window. In his 11 games in that window (of his last 33), he was 117% above his usual, schedule-adjusted. Weighted for sample size.
- Injuries / lineup: Offensive line: back to full strength, after being short in 5 of his last 16 games (league-wide −1% in 1851 games). Effect +0%. SEA defensive front: Leonard Williams (Out, stinger) not expected to play (measured per player, weighted for sample size, snap share and how good he has been (Leonard Williams: his team −100% in 1 games without him vs 28 with, 3.0 tackles a game net of misses (unit starters: 4.1)); already the case in 4 of his last 16 games). Effect −2%.
- News: Not connected yet (X news). Injury reports are counted under Injuries / lineup. Counted as 0.
Recent games
| Game | Opp | Pass | Rush | Rec | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 9 | SF | 216 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026 wk 8 | NYJ | 247 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 2026 wk 7 | LA | 295 | 6 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026 wk 6 | BUF | 313 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026 wk 5 | NE | 243 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026 wk 4 | KC | 365 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026 wk 3 | NO | 248 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2026 wk 2 | LAC | 253 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Updated 2026-11-15. Bars are his real games. Yellow factors are not connected yet and count as zero.