WR · WAS
Terry McLaurin
Not expected to play: on injured reserve
Next: Week 11, CIN at WAS, .
Receiving yards
Consistent vs 113 wide receivers · last 16 games, adjusted for schedule and this week · number on each bar = games
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| Factor | yds |
|---|---|
| Statistics | 55.6 |
| Matchup | −2.4 |
| Weather | 0 |
| Coach / team | −0.4 |
| Rest / bye | 0 |
| Game time | −2.3 |
| Injuries / lineup | −14.9 |
| News | 0 |
| Projection | 35.7 |
Why these numbers
- Statistics: Last 16 games. Schedule-adjusted: the defenses he faced allowed 3% less than average, so his raw 53.9 counts as 55.6. Steady: his longer average has predicted his next game better than his last few games, so all 16 count nearly equally.
- Matchup: CIN allows 4% less to wide receivers than the league average, over 8 games (weighted for sample size).
- Weather: No forecast for this game yet (forecasts reach about six days ahead and cover US stadiums). Counted as 0.
- Coach / team: Blough's offense vs Golden's defense: no meetings since 2018. Scheme: West Coast offenses vs Multiple / disguise defenses, 72 games since 2018, 1% below expectation.
- Rest / bye: Not coming off a bye.
- Game time: This game is in primetime. In his 9 games in that window (of his last 34), he was 8% below his usual, schedule-adjusted. Weighted for sample size.
- Injuries / lineup: Quarterback: back to full strength, after being short in 7 of his last 16 games (quarterback gap: Jayden Daniels 7.2 yards per attempt vs Marcus Mariota 7.1, last three seasons, weighted for sample size; his own games: −7% in 9 without vs 25 with). Effect +2%. Top targets: back to full strength, after being short in 14 of his last 16 games (league-wide +16% in 4154 games; his own games: +150% in 32 without vs 2 with). Effect −30%. Offensive line: back to full strength, after being short in 10 of his last 16 games (league-wide −1% in 1851 games). Effect +1%. CIN secondary: back to full strength, after being short in 7 of his last 16 games (league-wide −1% in 1959 games). Effect +0%. Watch: he himself is not expected to play (these numbers apply only if he does); this week's injury report is not posted yet (teams publish it Wednesday to Friday).
- News: Not connected yet (X news). Injury reports are counted under Injuries / lineup. Counted as 0.
Anytime touchdown
Consistent vs 92 wide receivers · last 16 games · number on each bar = games
Anytime touchdown: 38%, fair odds +165 (adjusted for this week)
| Factor | TD |
|---|---|
| Statistics | 0.29 |
| Matchup | +0.02 |
| Weather | 0 |
| Coach / team | +0.01 |
| Rest / bye | 0 |
| Game time | +0.01 |
| Injuries / lineup | +0.05 |
| News | 0 |
| Projection | 0.39 |
Why these numbers
- Statistics: Last 16 games. Schedule-adjusted: the defenses he faced allowed 20% less than average, so his raw 0.23 counts as 0.29. Recent form and longer average predict about equally, so standard weighting.
- Matchup: CIN allows 7% more to wide receivers than the league average, over 8 games (weighted for sample size).
- Weather: No forecast for this game yet (forecasts reach about six days ahead and cover US stadiums). Counted as 0.
- Coach / team: Blough's offense vs Golden's defense: no meetings since 2018. Scheme: West Coast offenses vs Multiple / disguise defenses, 72 games since 2018, 5% above expectation.
- Rest / bye: Not coming off a bye.
- Game time: This game is in primetime. In his 9 games in that window (of his last 34), he was 9% above his usual, schedule-adjusted. Weighted for sample size.
- Injuries / lineup: Quarterback: back to full strength, after being short in 7 of his last 16 games (quarterback gap: Jayden Daniels 4.8 touchdown passes per 100 attempts vs Marcus Mariota 4.9, last three seasons, weighted for sample size; his own games: −68% in 9 without vs 25 with). Effect +22%. Top targets: back to full strength, after being short in 14 of his last 16 games (league-wide +10% in 4154 games). Effect −8%. Offensive line: back to full strength, after being short in 10 of his last 16 games (league-wide −1% in 1851 games). Effect +3%. CIN secondary: back to full strength, after being short in 7 of his last 16 games (league-wide −1% in 1959 games). Effect −1%. Watch: he himself is not expected to play (these numbers apply only if he does); this week's injury report is not posted yet (teams publish it Wednesday to Friday).
- News: Not connected yet (X news). Injury reports are counted under Injuries / lineup. Counted as 0.
Recent games
| Game | Opp | Pass | Rush | Rec | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 6 | SF | 0 | 0 | 27 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 5 | NYG | 0 | 0 | 62 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 3 | SEA | 0 | 0 | 77 | 1 |
| 2026 wk 2 | DAL | 0 | 0 | 50 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 | PHI | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 | PHI | 0 | 0 | 57 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 | DAL | 0 | 0 | 63 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 | PHI | 0 | 0 | 53 | 0 |
Updated 2026-11-15. Bars are his real games. Yellow factors are not connected yet and count as zero.