EV-Max Best bets Model record
QB · BAL

Tyler Huntley

Not expected to play: on injured reserve

Next: Week 10, LAC at BAL, .

Passing yards

Boom or bust vs 42 quarterbacks · last 15 games, adjusted for schedule and this week · number on each bar = games

2 4 2 1 3 2 1 04080120160200240280
Type a line for his chance and fair odds.
Calculator: payouts for one or two bets

A middle: Over a lower line and Under a higher line, both win in between. Set a bet to None to price a single bet. Odds are American (for example -110 or +150).

Bet a
Bet b
Factoryds
Statistics134.1
Matchup−1.0
Weather+1.8
Coach / team−1.3
Rest / bye0
Game time−3.7
Injuries / lineup−8.1
News0
Projection121.8
Why these numbers
  • Statistics: Last 15 games. Schedule-adjusted: the defenses he faced allowed 1% less than average, so his raw 132.1 counts as 134.1. Steady: his longer average has predicted his next game better than his last few games, so all 16 count nearly equally.
  • Matchup: LAC allows 1% less to the whole offense than the league average, over 8 games (weighted for sample size).
  • Weather: Forecast at kickoff: 45°F, wind 5 mph, 0% chance of rain or snow, Mostly Clear. Wind (13 mph or more): calmer this week, after wind in 2 of his last 15 games (league-wide −6% in 480 games; his own games: +12% in 2 without vs 13 with). Effect +0%. Cold (32°F or colder): milder this week, after freezing weather in 1 of his last 15 games (league-wide −8% in 144 games; his own games: −70% in 1 without vs 14 with). Effect +1%. Rain and snow are shown but not measured yet.
  • Coach / team: Doyle's offense vs O'Leary's defense: no meetings since 2018. Scheme: West Coast offenses vs Multiple / disguise defenses, 71 games since 2018, 2% below expectation.
  • Rest / bye: Not coming off a bye.
  • Game time: This game is in primetime. In his 4 games in that window (of his last 15), he was 8% below his usual, schedule-adjusted. Weighted for sample size.
  • Injuries / lineup: Top targets: back to full strength, after being short in 5 of his last 15 games (league-wide −5% in 1164 games; his own games: +53% in 5 without vs 10 with). Effect −7%. Offensive line: back to full strength, after being short in 4 of his last 15 games (league-wide −1% in 1851 games). Effect +0%. LAC secondary: back to full strength, after being short in 8 of his last 15 games (league-wide −1% in 1959 games). Effect +0%. Watch: he himself is not expected to play (these numbers apply only if he does).
  • News: Not connected yet (X news). Injury reports are counted under Injuries / lineup. Counted as 0.

Passing touchdowns

Boom or bust vs 40 quarterbacks · last 15 games · number on each bar = games

7 0 7 1 1 2 0 3+

At least one: 60%, fair odds -148 (adjusted for this week)

FactorTD
Statistics0.62
Matchup+0.03
Weather+0.02
Coach / team0
Rest / bye0
Game time+0.05
Injuries / lineup+0.01
News0
Projection0.72
Why these numbers
  • Statistics: Last 15 games. Schedule-adjusted: the defenses he faced allowed 3% less than average, so his raw 0.60 counts as 0.62. Steady: his longer average has predicted his next game better than his last few games, so all 16 count nearly equally.
  • Matchup: LAC allows 4% more to the whole offense than the league average, over 8 games (weighted for sample size).
  • Weather: Forecast at kickoff: 45°F, wind 5 mph, 0% chance of rain or snow, Mostly Clear. Wind (13 mph or more): calmer this week, after wind in 2 of his last 15 games (league-wide −13% in 480 games; his own games: −23% in 2 without vs 13 with). Effect +2%. Cold (32°F or colder): milder this week, after freezing weather in 1 of his last 15 games (league-wide −1% in 144 games; his own games: −70% in 1 without vs 14 with). Effect +1%. Rain and snow are shown but not measured yet.
  • Coach / team: Doyle's offense vs O'Leary's defense: no meetings since 2018. Scheme: West Coast offenses vs Multiple / disguise defenses, 71 games since 2018, 1% above expectation.
  • Rest / bye: Not coming off a bye.
  • Game time: This game is in primetime. In his 4 games in that window (of his last 15), he was 21% above his usual, schedule-adjusted. Weighted for sample size.
  • Injuries / lineup: Top targets: back to full strength, after being short in 5 of his last 15 games (league-wide −8% in 1164 games; his own games: +5% in 5 without vs 10 with). Effect +1%. Offensive line: back to full strength, after being short in 4 of his last 15 games (league-wide +1% in 1851 games). Effect +0%. LAC secondary: back to full strength, after being short in 8 of his last 15 games (league-wide −2% in 1959 games). Effect −0%. Watch: he himself is not expected to play (these numbers apply only if he does).
  • News: Not connected yet (X news). Injury reports are counted under Injuries / lineup. Counted as 0.

Rushing yards

Moderate vs 25 quarterbacks · last 15 games, adjusted for schedule and this week · number on each bar = games

1 4 3 2 3 1 1 -10010203040506070
Type a line for his chance and fair odds.
Calculator: payouts for one or two bets

A middle: Over a lower line and Under a higher line, both win in between. Set a bet to None to price a single bet. Odds are American (for example -110 or +150).

Bet a
Bet b
Factoryds
Statistics24.4
Matchup−4.3
Weather−0.5
Coach / team+1.0
Rest / bye0
Game time+2.0
Injuries / lineup−0.2
News0
Projection22.4
Why these numbers
  • Statistics: Last 15 games. Schedule-adjusted: the defenses he faced allowed 1% less than average, so his raw 24.1 counts as 24.4. Steady: his longer average has predicted his next game better than his last few games, so all 16 count nearly equally.
  • Matchup: LAC allows 18% less to quarterbacks than the league average, over 8 games (weighted for sample size).
  • Weather: Forecast at kickoff: 45°F, wind 5 mph, 0% chance of rain or snow, Mostly Clear. Wind (13 mph or more): calmer this week, after wind in 2 of his last 15 games (league-wide −3% in 480 games; his own games: +105% in 2 without vs 13 with). Effect −3%. Cold (32°F or colder): milder this week, after freezing weather in 1 of his last 15 games (league-wide +0% in 144 games; his own games: −70% in 1 without vs 14 with). Effect +1%. Rain and snow are shown but not measured yet.
  • Coach / team: Doyle's offense vs O'Leary's defense: no meetings since 2018. Scheme: West Coast offenses vs Multiple / disguise defenses, 71 games since 2018, 8% above expectation.
  • Rest / bye: Not coming off a bye.
  • Game time: This game is in primetime. In his 4 games in that window (of his last 15), he was 41% above his usual, schedule-adjusted. Weighted for sample size.
  • Injuries / lineup: Offensive line: back to full strength, after being short in 4 of his last 15 games (league-wide −4% in 1851 games). Effect +1%. LAC defensive front: back to full strength, after being short in 8 of his last 15 games (league-wide +4% in 1400 games). Effect −2%. Watch: he himself is not expected to play (these numbers apply only if he does).
  • News: Not connected yet (X news). Injury reports are counted under Injuries / lineup. Counted as 0.

Anytime touchdown

Moderate vs 26 quarterbacks · last 15 games · number on each bar = games

12 0 3 1 0 2 0 3+

Anytime touchdown: 22%, fair odds +361 (adjusted for this week)

FactorTD
Statistics0.14
Matchup+0.03
Weather−0.01
Coach / team+0.01
Rest / bye0
Game time+0.02
Injuries / lineup0
News0
Projection0.19
Why these numbers
  • Statistics: Last 15 games. Schedule-adjusted: the defenses he faced allowed 1% more than average, so his raw 0.15 counts as 0.14. Recent form and longer average predict about equally, so standard weighting.
  • Matchup: LAC allows 24% more to quarterbacks than the league average, over 8 games (weighted for sample size).
  • Weather: Forecast at kickoff: 45°F, wind 5 mph, 0% chance of rain or snow, Mostly Clear. Wind (13 mph or more): calmer this week, after wind in 2 of his last 15 games (league-wide −10% in 480 games; his own games: +150% in 2 without vs 13 with). Effect −4%. Cold (32°F or colder): milder this week, after freezing weather in 1 of his last 15 games (league-wide −1% in 144 games; his own games: −70% in 1 without vs 14 with). Effect +1%. Rain and snow are shown but not measured yet.
  • Coach / team: Doyle's offense vs O'Leary's defense: no meetings since 2018. Scheme: West Coast offenses vs Multiple / disguise defenses, 71 games since 2018, 5% above expectation.
  • Rest / bye: Not coming off a bye.
  • Game time: This game is in primetime. In his 4 games in that window (of his last 15), he was 78% above his usual, schedule-adjusted. Weighted for sample size.
  • Injuries / lineup: Offensive line: back to full strength, after being short in 4 of his last 15 games (league-wide −1% in 1851 games). Effect +1%. LAC defensive front: back to full strength, after being short in 8 of his last 15 games (league-wide +4% in 1400 games). Effect −3%. Watch: he himself is not expected to play (these numbers apply only if he does).
  • News: Not connected yet (X news). Injury reports are counted under Injuries / lineup. Counted as 0.

Recent games

GameOppPassRushRecTD
2026 wk 8BUF 000 0
2026 wk 7CIN 298120 1
2026 wk 6CLE 165280 1
2026 wk 5ATL 201200 3
2026 wk 4TEN 63160 0
2025 wk 17GB 107600 1
2025 wk 16NE 6520 0
2025 wk 15CIN 0-30 0

Updated 2026-11-15. Bars are his real games. Yellow factors are not connected yet and count as zero.