QB · GB
Jordan Love
Next: Week 10, MIN at GB, .
Passing yards
Moderate vs 42 quarterbacks · last 16 games, adjusted for schedule and this week · number on each bar = games
Calculator: payouts for one or two bets
A middle: Over a lower line and Under a higher line, both win in between. Set a bet to None to price a single bet. Odds are American (for example -110 or +150).
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| Factor | yds |
|---|---|
| Statistics | 282.2 |
| Matchup | −32.3 |
| Weather | +4.4 |
| Coach / team | −4.7 |
| Rest / bye | 0 |
| Game time | −15.5 |
| Injuries / lineup | −1.9 |
| News | 0 |
| Projection | 232.2 |
Why these numbers
- Statistics: Last 16 games. Schedule-adjusted: the defenses he faced allowed 1% more than average, so his raw 285.2 counts as 282.2. Recent form and longer average predict about equally, so standard weighting.
- Matchup: MIN allows 11% less to the whole offense than the league average, over 8 games (weighted for sample size).
- Weather: Forecast at kickoff: 46°F, wind 2 mph, 0% chance of rain or snow, Sunny. Wind (13 mph or more): calmer this week, after wind in 1 of his last 16 games (league-wide −6% in 480 games; his own games: −21% in 4 without vs 30 with). Effect +1%. Cold (32°F or colder): milder this week, after freezing weather in 2 of his last 16 games (league-wide −8% in 144 games; his own games: −8% in 4 without vs 30 with). Effect +1%. Rain and snow are shown but not measured yet.
- Coach / team: LaFleur's offense vs Flores's defense: 7 meetings since 2018, 2% below what those teams usually produce and allow (weighted for sample size). Scheme: West Coast (Shanahan tree) offenses vs Pressure / blitz-heavy defenses, 278 games since 2018, 2% below expectation (fills the weight the direct meetings do not earn).
- Rest / bye: Not coming off a bye.
- Game time: This game is in the early window. In his 10 games in that window (of his last 34), he was 11% below his usual, schedule-adjusted. Weighted for sample size.
- Injuries / lineup: Top targets: back to full strength, after being short in 2 of his last 16 games (league-wide −5% in 1164 games; his own games: −23% in 18 without vs 16 with). Effect +2%. Offensive line: Sean Rhyan (Out, ankle) not expected to play (measured per player, weighted for sample size, snap share and how good he has been (Sean Rhyan: his team −15% in 4 games without him vs 23 with); already the case in 10 of his last 16 games). Effect −3%. MIN secondary: back to full strength, after being short in 8 of his last 16 games (league-wide −1% in 1959 games). Effect +0%. Watch: offensive line: Travis Glover (Questionable, knee); MIN secondary: Josh Metellus (Questionable, shoulder).
- News: Not connected yet (X news). Injury reports are counted under Injuries / lineup. Counted as 0.
Passing touchdowns
Consistent vs 40 quarterbacks · last 16 games · number on each bar = games
At least one: 82%, fair odds -464 (adjusted for this week)
| Factor | TD |
|---|---|
| Statistics | 2.15 |
| Matchup | −0.72 |
| Weather | +0.01 |
| Coach / team | +0.08 |
| Rest / bye | 0 |
| Game time | −0.11 |
| Injuries / lineup | +0.07 |
| News | 0 |
| Projection | 1.48 |
Why these numbers
- Statistics: Last 16 games. Schedule-adjusted: the defenses he faced allowed 3% more than average, so his raw 2.21 counts as 2.15. Recent form and longer average predict about equally, so standard weighting.
- Matchup: MIN allows 34% less to the whole offense than the league average, over 8 games (weighted for sample size).
- Weather: Forecast at kickoff: 46°F, wind 2 mph, 0% chance of rain or snow, Sunny. Wind (13 mph or more): calmer this week, after wind in 1 of his last 16 games (league-wide −13% in 480 games; his own games: −58% in 4 without vs 30 with). Effect +2%. Cold (32°F or colder): milder this week, after freezing weather in 2 of his last 16 games (league-wide −1% in 144 games; his own games: +32% in 4 without vs 30 with). Effect −1%. Rain and snow are shown but not measured yet.
- Coach / team: LaFleur's offense vs Flores's defense: 7 meetings since 2018, 8% above what those teams usually produce and allow (weighted for sample size). Scheme: West Coast (Shanahan tree) offenses vs Pressure / blitz-heavy defenses, 278 games since 2018, 0% above expectation (fills the weight the direct meetings do not earn).
- Rest / bye: Not coming off a bye.
- Game time: This game is in the early window. In his 10 games in that window (of his last 34), he was 13% below his usual, schedule-adjusted. Weighted for sample size.
- Injuries / lineup: Top targets: back to full strength, after being short in 2 of his last 16 games (league-wide −8% in 1164 games; his own games: −35% in 18 without vs 16 with). Effect +4%. Offensive line: Sean Rhyan (Out, ankle) not expected to play (measured per player, weighted for sample size, snap share and how good he has been (Sean Rhyan: his team −4% in 4 games without him vs 23 with); already the case in 10 of his last 16 games). Effect +1%. MIN secondary: back to full strength, after being short in 8 of his last 16 games (league-wide −2% in 1959 games). Effect +0%. Watch: offensive line: Travis Glover (Questionable, knee); MIN secondary: Josh Metellus (Questionable, shoulder).
- News: Not connected yet (X news). Injury reports are counted under Injuries / lineup. Counted as 0.
Rushing yards
Boom or bust vs 25 quarterbacks · last 16 games, adjusted for schedule and this week · number on each bar = games
Calculator: payouts for one or two bets
A middle: Over a lower line and Under a higher line, both win in between. Set a bet to None to price a single bet. Odds are American (for example -110 or +150).
Bet a
Bet b
| Factor | yds |
|---|---|
| Statistics | 5.2 |
| Matchup | −0.8 |
| Weather | +0.2 |
| Coach / team | +0.1 |
| Rest / bye | 0 |
| Game time | −0.5 |
| Injuries / lineup | +0.4 |
| News | 0 |
| Projection | 4.7 |
Why these numbers
- Statistics: Last 16 games. Schedule-adjusted: the defenses he faced allowed 3% less than average, so his raw 5.1 counts as 5.2. Recent form and longer average predict about equally, so standard weighting.
- Matchup: MIN allows 14% less to quarterbacks than the league average, over 8 games (weighted for sample size).
- Weather: Forecast at kickoff: 46°F, wind 2 mph, 0% chance of rain or snow, Sunny. Wind (13 mph or more): calmer this week, after wind in 1 of his last 16 games (league-wide −3% in 480 games; his own games: −14% in 4 without vs 30 with). Effect +0%. Cold (32°F or colder): milder this week, after freezing weather in 2 of his last 16 games (league-wide +0% in 144 games; his own games: −70% in 4 without vs 30 with). Effect +4%. Rain and snow are shown but not measured yet.
- Coach / team: LaFleur's offense vs Flores's defense: 7 meetings since 2018, 4% above what those teams usually produce and allow (weighted for sample size). Scheme: West Coast (Shanahan tree) offenses vs Pressure / blitz-heavy defenses, 278 games since 2018, 1% above expectation (fills the weight the direct meetings do not earn).
- Rest / bye: Not coming off a bye.
- Game time: This game is in the early window. In his 10 games in that window (of his last 34), he was 19% below his usual, schedule-adjusted. Weighted for sample size.
- Injuries / lineup: Offensive line: Sean Rhyan (Out, ankle) not expected to play (measured per player, weighted for sample size, snap share and how good he has been (Sean Rhyan: his team +3% in 4 games without him vs 23 with); already the case in 10 of his last 16 games). Effect +2%. MIN defensive front: Blake Cashman (Out, concussion) not expected to play (measured per player, weighted for sample size, snap share and how good he has been (Blake Cashman: his team +13% in 4 games without him vs 21 with, 10.0 tackles a game net of misses (unit starters: 4.6)); already the case in 3 of his last 16 games). Effect +8%. Watch: offensive line: Travis Glover (Questionable, knee).
- News: Not connected yet (X news). Injury reports are counted under Injuries / lineup. Counted as 0.
Anytime touchdown
Boom or bust vs 26 quarterbacks · last 16 games · number on each bar = games
Anytime touchdown: 38%, fair odds +166 (adjusted for this week)
| Factor | TD |
|---|---|
| Statistics | 0.27 |
| Matchup | 0 |
| Weather | +0.02 |
| Coach / team | 0 |
| Rest / bye | 0 |
| Game time | +0.04 |
| Injuries / lineup | +0.05 |
| News | 0 |
| Projection | 0.38 |
Why these numbers
- Statistics: Last 16 games. Schedule-adjusted: the defenses he faced allowed 2% less than average, so his raw 0.26 counts as 0.27. Recent form and longer average predict about equally, so standard weighting.
- Matchup: MIN allows 0% more to quarterbacks than the league average, over 8 games (weighted for sample size).
- Weather: Forecast at kickoff: 46°F, wind 2 mph, 0% chance of rain or snow, Sunny. Wind (13 mph or more): calmer this week, after wind in 1 of his last 16 games (league-wide −10% in 480 games; his own games: −70% in 4 without vs 30 with). Effect +2%. Cold (32°F or colder): milder this week, after freezing weather in 2 of his last 16 games (league-wide −1% in 144 games; his own games: −70% in 4 without vs 30 with). Effect +4%. Rain and snow are shown but not measured yet.
- Coach / team: LaFleur's offense vs Flores's defense: 7 meetings since 2018, 4% above what those teams usually produce and allow (weighted for sample size). Scheme: West Coast (Shanahan tree) offenses vs Pressure / blitz-heavy defenses, 278 games since 2018, 2% below expectation (fills the weight the direct meetings do not earn).
- Rest / bye: Not coming off a bye.
- Game time: This game is in the early window. In his 10 games in that window (of his last 34), he was 48% above his usual, schedule-adjusted. Weighted for sample size.
- Injuries / lineup: Offensive line: Sean Rhyan (Out, ankle) not expected to play (measured per player, weighted for sample size, snap share and how good he has been (Sean Rhyan: his team +13% in 4 games without him vs 23 with); already the case in 10 of his last 16 games). Effect +8%. MIN defensive front: Blake Cashman (Out, concussion) not expected to play (measured per player, weighted for sample size, snap share and how good he has been (Blake Cashman: his team +19% in 4 games without him vs 21 with, 10.0 tackles a game net of misses (unit starters: 4.6)); already the case in 3 of his last 16 games). Effect +10%. Watch: offensive line: Travis Glover (Questionable, knee).
- News: Not connected yet (X news). Injury reports are counted under Injuries / lineup. Counted as 0.
Recent games
| Game | Opp | Pass | Rush | Rec | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 9 | NE | 372 | 13 | 0 | 4 |
| 2026 wk 8 | CAR | 288 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2026 wk 7 | DET | 274 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026 wk 6 | DAL | 276 | 12 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026 wk 5 | CHI | 367 | 6 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026 wk 4 | TB | 197 | -8 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026 wk 3 | ATL | 312 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026 wk 2 | NYJ | 145 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Updated 2026-11-15. Bars are his real games. Yellow factors are not connected yet and count as zero.