RB · DAL
Javonte Williams
Next: Week 10, SF at DAL, .
Rushing yards
Consistent vs 62 running backs · last 16 games, adjusted for schedule and this week · number on each bar = games
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| Factor | yds |
|---|---|
| Statistics | 68.7 |
| Matchup | −9.1 |
| Weather | 0 |
| Coach / team | −2.9 |
| Rest / bye | 0 |
| Game time | −3.1 |
| Injuries / lineup | +0.4 |
| News | 0 |
| Projection | 54.1 |
Why these numbers
- Statistics: Last 16 games. Schedule-adjusted: the defenses he faced allowed 1% more than average, so his raw 69.6 counts as 68.7. Steady: his longer average has predicted his next game better than his last few games, so all 16 count nearly equally.
- Matchup: SF allows 13% less to running backs than the league average, over 8 games (weighted for sample size).
- Weather: Forecast at kickoff: 50°F, wind 10 mph, 18% chance of rain or snow, Slight Chance Rain Showers. No wind of 13 mph or more and no freezing cold, now or in his recent games: no adjustment. Rain and snow are shown but not measured yet.
- Coach / team: Schottenheimer's offense vs Morris's defense: 2 meetings since 2018, 14% below what those teams usually produce and allow (weighted for sample size). Scheme: West Coast offenses vs Two-high shell (Fangio tree) defenses, 101 games since 2018, 1% below expectation (fills the weight the direct meetings do not earn).
- Rest / bye: Not coming off a bye.
- Game time: This game is in the late window. In his 12 games in that window (of his last 34), he was 9% below his usual, schedule-adjusted. Weighted for sample size.
- Injuries / lineup: Offensive line: back to full strength, after being short in 9 of his last 16 games (league-wide −4% in 1851 games). Effect +2%. SF defensive front: back to full strength, after being short in 5 of his last 16 games (league-wide +4% in 1400 games). Effect −1%. Watch: SF defensive front: Dre Greenlaw (Questionable, knee).
- News: Not connected yet (X news). Injury reports are counted under Injuries / lineup. Counted as 0.
Receiving yards
Moderate vs 66 running backs · last 16 games, adjusted for schedule and this week · number on each bar = games
Calculator: payouts for one or two bets
A middle: Over a lower line and Under a higher line, both win in between. Set a bet to None to price a single bet. Odds are American (for example -110 or +150).
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| Factor | yds |
|---|---|
| Statistics | 11.4 |
| Matchup | +2.4 |
| Weather | 0 |
| Coach / team | −0.1 |
| Rest / bye | 0 |
| Game time | +2.1 |
| Injuries / lineup | −0.2 |
| News | 0 |
| Projection | 15.6 |
Why these numbers
- Statistics: Last 16 games. Schedule-adjusted: the defenses he faced allowed 6% less than average, so his raw 10.7 counts as 11.4. Steady: his longer average has predicted his next game better than his last few games, so all 16 count nearly equally.
- Matchup: SF allows 21% more to running backs than the league average, over 8 games (weighted for sample size).
- Weather: Forecast at kickoff: 50°F, wind 10 mph, 18% chance of rain or snow, Slight Chance Rain Showers. No wind of 13 mph or more and no freezing cold, now or in his recent games: no adjustment. Rain and snow are shown but not measured yet.
- Coach / team: Schottenheimer's offense vs Morris's defense: 2 meetings since 2018, 4% above what those teams usually produce and allow (weighted for sample size). Scheme: West Coast offenses vs Two-high shell (Fangio tree) defenses, 101 games since 2018, 5% below expectation (fills the weight the direct meetings do not earn).
- Rest / bye: Not coming off a bye.
- Game time: This game is in the late window. In his 12 games in that window (of his last 34), he was 25% above his usual, schedule-adjusted. Weighted for sample size.
- Injuries / lineup: Top targets: back to full strength, after being short in 1 of his last 16 games (league-wide +16% in 4154 games; his own games: +44% in 14 without vs 20 with). Effect −2%. Offensive line: back to full strength, after being short in 9 of his last 16 games (league-wide −1% in 1851 games). Effect +0%. SF secondary: back to full strength, after being short in 5 of his last 16 games (league-wide −1% in 1959 games). Effect +0%. Watch: SF secondary: Renardo Green (Questionable, back), Deommodore Lenoir (Questionable, foot).
- News: Not connected yet (X news). Injury reports are counted under Injuries / lineup. Counted as 0.
Anytime touchdown
Consistent vs 60 running backs · last 16 games · number on each bar = games
Anytime touchdown: 54%, fair odds -119 (adjusted for this week)
| Factor | TD |
|---|---|
| Statistics | 0.90 |
| Matchup | −0.23 |
| Weather | 0 |
| Coach / team | +0.05 |
| Rest / bye | 0 |
| Game time | −0.12 |
| Injuries / lineup | −0.01 |
| News | 0 |
| Projection | 0.61 |
Why these numbers
- Statistics: Last 16 games. Schedule-adjusted: the defenses he faced allowed 3% less than average, so his raw 0.88 counts as 0.90. Steady: his longer average has predicted his next game better than his last few games, so all 16 count nearly equally.
- Matchup: SF allows 25% less to running backs than the league average, over 8 games (weighted for sample size).
- Weather: Forecast at kickoff: 50°F, wind 10 mph, 18% chance of rain or snow, Slight Chance Rain Showers. No wind of 13 mph or more and no freezing cold, now or in his recent games: no adjustment. Rain and snow are shown but not measured yet.
- Coach / team: Schottenheimer's offense vs Morris's defense: 2 meetings since 2018, 29% above what those teams usually produce and allow (weighted for sample size). Scheme: West Coast offenses vs Two-high shell (Fangio tree) defenses, 101 games since 2018, 4% below expectation (fills the weight the direct meetings do not earn).
- Rest / bye: Not coming off a bye.
- Game time: This game is in the late window. In his 12 games in that window (of his last 34), he was 28% below his usual, schedule-adjusted. Weighted for sample size.
- Injuries / lineup: Offensive line: back to full strength, after being short in 9 of his last 16 games (league-wide −1% in 1851 games). Effect +1%. SF defensive front: back to full strength, after being short in 5 of his last 16 games (league-wide +4% in 1400 games). Effect −2%. Watch: SF defensive front: Dre Greenlaw (Questionable, knee).
- News: Not connected yet (X news). Injury reports are counted under Injuries / lineup. Counted as 0.
Recent games
| Game | Opp | Pass | Rush | Rec | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 9 | IND | 0 | 101 | 23 | 1 |
| 2026 wk 8 | ARI | 0 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 7 | PHI | 0 | 155 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026 wk 6 | GB | 0 | 41 | 9 | 1 |
| 2026 wk 5 | TB | 0 | 45 | 17 | 1 |
| 2026 wk 4 | HOU | 0 | 62 | 21 | 3 |
| 2026 wk 3 | BAL | 0 | 98 | 5 | 1 |
| 2026 wk 2 | WAS | 0 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
Updated 2026-11-15. Bars are his real games. Yellow factors are not connected yet and count as zero.