RB · DAL
Tyler Goodson
Not expected to play: Out, ankle
Next: Week 10, SF at DAL, .
Rushing yards
Boom or bust vs 62 running backs · last 16 games, adjusted for schedule and this week · number on each bar = games
Calculator: payouts for one or two bets
A middle: Over a lower line and Under a higher line, both win in between. Set a bet to None to price a single bet. Odds are American (for example -110 or +150).
Bet a
Bet b
| Factor | yds |
|---|---|
| Statistics | 31.1 |
| Matchup | −4.1 |
| Weather | 0 |
| Coach / team | −1.3 |
| Rest / bye | 0 |
| Game time | −3.1 |
| Injuries / lineup | −2.3 |
| News | 0 |
| Projection | 20.2 |
Why these numbers
- Statistics: Last 16 games. Schedule-adjusted: the defenses he faced allowed 10% more than average, so his raw 34.1 counts as 31.1. Streaky: his recent games have predicted his next game better than his longer average, so recent games count more.
- Matchup: SF allows 13% less to running backs than the league average, over 8 games (weighted for sample size).
- Weather: Forecast at kickoff: 50°F, wind 10 mph, 18% chance of rain or snow, Slight Chance Rain Showers. No wind of 13 mph or more and no freezing cold, now or in his recent games: no adjustment. Rain and snow are shown but not measured yet.
- Coach / team: Schottenheimer's offense vs Morris's defense: 2 meetings since 2018, 14% below what those teams usually produce and allow (weighted for sample size). Scheme: West Coast offenses vs Two-high shell (Fangio tree) defenses, 101 games since 2018, 1% below expectation (fills the weight the direct meetings do not earn).
- Rest / bye: Not coming off a bye.
- Game time: This game is in the late window. In his 5 games in that window (of his last 30), he was 46% below his usual, schedule-adjusted. Weighted for sample size.
- Injuries / lineup: Quarterback: back to full strength, after being short in 3 of his last 16 games (league-wide +3% in 763 games; his own games: −4% in 8 without vs 22 with). Effect +0%. Lead running back: back to full strength, after being short in 10 of his last 16 games (league-wide +101% in 1074 games; his own games: −70% in 24 without vs 6 with). Effect −9%. Offensive line: back to full strength, after being short in 6 of his last 16 games (league-wide −4% in 1851 games). Effect +2%. SF defensive front: back to full strength, after being short in 5 of his last 16 games (league-wide +4% in 1400 games). Effect −1%. Watch: he himself is not expected to play (these numbers apply only if he does); SF defensive front: Dre Greenlaw (Questionable, knee).
- News: Not connected yet (X news). Injury reports are counted under Injuries / lineup. Counted as 0.
Receiving yards
Boom or bust vs 66 running backs · last 16 games, adjusted for schedule and this week · number on each bar = games
Calculator: payouts for one or two bets
A middle: Over a lower line and Under a higher line, both win in between. Set a bet to None to price a single bet. Odds are American (for example -110 or +150).
Bet a
Bet b
| Factor | yds |
|---|---|
| Statistics | 3.1 |
| Matchup | +0.7 |
| Weather | 0 |
| Coach / team | −0.0 |
| Rest / bye | 0 |
| Game time | −0.4 |
| Injuries / lineup | −0.3 |
| News | 0 |
| Projection | 2.9 |
Why these numbers
- Statistics: Last 16 games. Schedule-adjusted: the defenses he faced allowed 9% more than average, so his raw 3.3 counts as 3.1. Recent form and longer average predict about equally, so standard weighting.
- Matchup: SF allows 21% more to running backs than the league average, over 8 games (weighted for sample size).
- Weather: Forecast at kickoff: 50°F, wind 10 mph, 18% chance of rain or snow, Slight Chance Rain Showers. No wind of 13 mph or more and no freezing cold, now or in his recent games: no adjustment. Rain and snow are shown but not measured yet.
- Coach / team: Schottenheimer's offense vs Morris's defense: 2 meetings since 2018, 4% above what those teams usually produce and allow (weighted for sample size). Scheme: West Coast offenses vs Two-high shell (Fangio tree) defenses, 101 games since 2018, 5% below expectation (fills the weight the direct meetings do not earn).
- Rest / bye: Not coming off a bye.
- Game time: This game is in the late window. In his 5 games in that window (of his last 30), he was 149% below his usual, schedule-adjusted. Weighted for sample size.
- Injuries / lineup: Quarterback: back to full strength, after being short in 3 of his last 16 games (quarterback gap: Dak Prescott 7.3 yards per attempt vs a typical backup 6.3, last three seasons, weighted for sample size; his own games: +150% in 8 without vs 22 with). Effect −13%. Top targets: back to full strength, after being short in 11 of his last 16 games (league-wide +16% in 4154 games; his own games: −35% in 25 without vs 5 with). Effect +5%. Offensive line: back to full strength, after being short in 6 of his last 16 games (league-wide −1% in 1851 games). Effect +0%. SF secondary: back to full strength, after being short in 7 of his last 16 games (league-wide −1% in 1959 games). Effect +0%. Watch: he himself is not expected to play (these numbers apply only if he does); SF secondary: Renardo Green (Questionable, back), Deommodore Lenoir (Questionable, foot).
- News: Not connected yet (X news). Injury reports are counted under Injuries / lineup. Counted as 0.
Anytime touchdown
Consistent vs 60 running backs · last 16 games · number on each bar = games
Anytime touchdown: 3%, fair odds +3300 (adjusted for this week)
| Factor | TD |
|---|---|
| Statistics | 0.00 |
| Matchup | 0 |
| Weather | 0 |
| Coach / team | 0 |
| Rest / bye | 0 |
| Game time | 0 |
| Injuries / lineup | 0 |
| News | 0 |
| Projection | 0.00 |
Why these numbers
- Statistics: Last 16 games. His schedule was about average. Streaky: his recent games have predicted his next game better than his longer average, so recent games count more.
- Matchup: SF allows 25% less to running backs than the league average, over 8 games (weighted for sample size).
- Weather: Forecast at kickoff: 50°F, wind 10 mph, 18% chance of rain or snow, Slight Chance Rain Showers. No wind of 13 mph or more and no freezing cold, now or in his recent games: no adjustment. Rain and snow are shown but not measured yet.
- Coach / team: Schottenheimer's offense vs Morris's defense: 2 meetings since 2018, 29% above what those teams usually produce and allow (weighted for sample size). Scheme: West Coast offenses vs Two-high shell (Fangio tree) defenses, 101 games since 2018, 4% below expectation (fills the weight the direct meetings do not earn).
- Rest / bye: Not coming off a bye.
- Game time: This game is in the late window. In his 5 games in that window (of his last 30), he was 100% below his usual, schedule-adjusted. Weighted for sample size.
- Injuries / lineup: Quarterback: back to full strength, after being short in 3 of his last 16 games (league-wide −17% in 763 games; his own games: +150% in 8 without vs 22 with). Effect −13%. Lead running back: back to full strength, after being short in 10 of his last 16 games (league-wide +108% in 1074 games). Effect −40%. Offensive line: back to full strength, after being short in 6 of his last 16 games (league-wide −1% in 1851 games). Effect +1%. SF defensive front: back to full strength, after being short in 5 of his last 16 games (league-wide +4% in 1400 games). Effect −2%. Watch: he himself is not expected to play (these numbers apply only if he does); SF defensive front: Dre Greenlaw (Questionable, knee).
- News: Not connected yet (X news). Injury reports are counted under Injuries / lineup. Counted as 0.
Recent games
| Game | Opp | Pass | Rush | Rec | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 9 | IND | 0 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 8 | ARI | 0 | 14 | 19 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 7 | PHI | 0 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 6 | GB | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 4 | HOU | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 3 | BAL | 0 | 22 | -5 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 | HOU | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 | SF | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
Updated 2026-11-15. Bars are his real games. Yellow factors are not connected yet and count as zero.