RB · WAS
Rachaad White
Next: Week 11, CIN at WAS, .
Rushing yards
Consistent vs 62 running backs · last 16 games, adjusted for schedule and this week · number on each bar = games
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| Factor | yds |
|---|---|
| Statistics | 34.5 |
| Matchup | −1.0 |
| Weather | 0 |
| Coach / team | +1.6 |
| Rest / bye | 0 |
| Game time | −0.5 |
| Injuries / lineup | +3.5 |
| News | 0 |
| Projection | 38.1 |
Why these numbers
- Statistics: Last 16 games. His schedule was about average. Recent form and longer average predict about equally, so standard weighting.
- Matchup: CIN allows 3% less to running backs than the league average, over 8 games (weighted for sample size).
- Weather: No forecast for this game yet (forecasts reach about six days ahead and cover US stadiums). Counted as 0.
- Coach / team: Blough's offense vs Golden's defense: no meetings since 2018. Scheme: West Coast offenses vs Multiple / disguise defenses, 72 games since 2018, 7% above expectation.
- Rest / bye: Not coming off a bye.
- Game time: This game is in primetime. In his 10 games in that window (of his last 34), he was 3% below his usual, schedule-adjusted. Weighted for sample size.
- Injuries / lineup: Quarterback: back to full strength, after being short in 2 of his last 16 games (league-wide +3% in 763 games; his own games: +14% in 2 without vs 32 with). Effect −1%. Lead running back: Jacory Croskey-Merritt (on injured reserve) not expected to play (league-wide +101% in 1074 games, scaled for his role: Jacory Croskey-Merritt takes 50% of the team's carries (typical: 54%); his own games: +21% in 30 without vs 4 with; already the case in 12 of his last 16 games). Effect +11%. Offensive line: back to full strength, after being short in 7 of his last 16 games (league-wide −4% in 1851 games). Effect +2%. CIN defensive front: back to full strength, after being short in 6 of his last 16 games (league-wide +4% in 1400 games). Effect −1%. Watch: this week's injury report is not posted yet (teams publish it Wednesday to Friday).
- News: Not connected yet (X news). Injury reports are counted under Injuries / lineup. Counted as 0.
Receiving yards
Moderate vs 66 running backs · last 16 games, adjusted for schedule and this week · number on each bar = games
Calculator: payouts for one or two bets
A middle: Over a lower line and Under a higher line, both win in between. Set a bet to None to price a single bet. Odds are American (for example -110 or +150).
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| Factor | yds |
|---|---|
| Statistics | 13.6 |
| Matchup | +0.1 |
| Weather | 0 |
| Coach / team | −0.1 |
| Rest / bye | 0 |
| Game time | −0.8 |
| Injuries / lineup | −0.9 |
| News | 0 |
| Projection | 11.8 |
Why these numbers
- Statistics: Last 16 games. Schedule-adjusted: the defenses he faced allowed 1% more than average, so his raw 13.7 counts as 13.6. Steady: his longer average has predicted his next game better than his last few games, so all 16 count nearly equally.
- Matchup: CIN allows 1% more to running backs than the league average, over 8 games (weighted for sample size).
- Weather: No forecast for this game yet (forecasts reach about six days ahead and cover US stadiums). Counted as 0.
- Coach / team: Blough's offense vs Golden's defense: no meetings since 2018. Scheme: West Coast offenses vs Multiple / disguise defenses, 72 games since 2018, 1% below expectation.
- Rest / bye: Not coming off a bye.
- Game time: This game is in primetime. In his 10 games in that window (of his last 34), he was 11% below his usual, schedule-adjusted. Weighted for sample size.
- Injuries / lineup: Quarterback: back to full strength, after being short in 2 of his last 16 games (quarterback gap: Jayden Daniels 7.2 yards per attempt vs Marcus Mariota 7.1, last three seasons, weighted for sample size; his own games: +71% in 2 without vs 32 with). Effect −2%. Top targets: back to full strength, after being short in 11 of his last 16 games (league-wide +16% in 4154 games; his own games: −1% in 29 without vs 5 with). Effect −5%. Offensive line: back to full strength, after being short in 7 of his last 16 games (league-wide −1% in 1851 games). Effect +0%. CIN secondary: back to full strength, after being short in 8 of his last 16 games (league-wide −1% in 1959 games). Effect +0%. Watch: this week's injury report is not posted yet (teams publish it Wednesday to Friday).
- News: Not connected yet (X news). Injury reports are counted under Injuries / lineup. Counted as 0.
Anytime touchdown
Boom or bust vs 60 running backs · last 16 games · number on each bar = games
Anytime touchdown: 38%, fair odds +166 (adjusted for this week)
| Factor | TD |
|---|---|
| Statistics | 0.34 |
| Matchup | −0.03 |
| Weather | 0 |
| Coach / team | +0.01 |
| Rest / bye | 0 |
| Game time | +0.01 |
| Injuries / lineup | +0.05 |
| News | 0 |
| Projection | 0.38 |
Why these numbers
- Statistics: Last 16 games. Schedule-adjusted: the defenses he faced allowed 15% less than average, so his raw 0.29 counts as 0.34. Recent form and longer average predict about equally, so standard weighting.
- Matchup: CIN allows 9% less to running backs than the league average, over 8 games (weighted for sample size).
- Weather: No forecast for this game yet (forecasts reach about six days ahead and cover US stadiums). Counted as 0.
- Coach / team: Blough's offense vs Golden's defense: no meetings since 2018. Scheme: West Coast offenses vs Multiple / disguise defenses, 72 games since 2018, 5% above expectation.
- Rest / bye: Not coming off a bye.
- Game time: This game is in primetime. In his 10 games in that window (of his last 34), he was 9% above his usual, schedule-adjusted. Weighted for sample size.
- Injuries / lineup: Quarterback: back to full strength, after being short in 2 of his last 16 games (league-wide −17% in 763 games; his own games: +2% in 2 without vs 32 with). Effect +2%. Lead running back: Jacory Croskey-Merritt (on injured reserve) not expected to play (league-wide +108% in 1074 games, scaled for his role: Jacory Croskey-Merritt takes 50% of the team's carries (typical: 54%); his own games: +109% in 30 without vs 4 with; already the case in 12 of his last 16 games). Effect +15%. Offensive line: back to full strength, after being short in 7 of his last 16 games (league-wide −1% in 1851 games). Effect +1%. CIN defensive front: back to full strength, after being short in 6 of his last 16 games (league-wide +4% in 1400 games). Effect −2%. Watch: this week's injury report is not posted yet (teams publish it Wednesday to Friday).
- News: Not connected yet (X news). Injury reports are counted under Injuries / lineup. Counted as 0.
Recent games
| Game | Opp | Pass | Rush | Rec | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 10 | NYG | 0 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 9 | LA | 0 | 28 | 41 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 8 | PHI | 0 | 55 | 5 | 1 |
| 2026 wk 6 | SF | 0 | 27 | 30 | 1 |
| 2026 wk 5 | NYG | 0 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 3 | SEA | 0 | 35 | 6 | 1 |
| 2026 wk 2 | DAL | 0 | 43 | 40 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 | PHI | 0 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
Updated 2026-11-15. Bars are his real games. Yellow factors are not connected yet and count as zero.