QB · WAS
Jayden Daniels
Next: Week 11, CIN at WAS, .
Passing yards
Moderate vs 42 quarterbacks · last 16 games, adjusted for schedule and this week · number on each bar = games
Calculator: payouts for one or two bets
A middle: Over a lower line and Under a higher line, both win in between. Set a bet to None to price a single bet. Odds are American (for example -110 or +150).
Bet a
Bet b
| Factor | yds |
|---|---|
| Statistics | 247.2 |
| Matchup | +8.9 |
| Weather | 0 |
| Coach / team | −1.7 |
| Rest / bye | 0 |
| Game time | +14.6 |
| Injuries / lineup | +21.5 |
| News | 0 |
| Projection | 290.4 |
Why these numbers
- Statistics: Last 16 games. Schedule-adjusted: the defenses he faced allowed 6% less than average, so his raw 232.8 counts as 247.2. Streaky: his recent games have predicted his next game better than his longer average, so recent games count more.
- Matchup: CIN allows 4% more to the whole offense than the league average, over 8 games (weighted for sample size).
- Weather: No forecast for this game yet (forecasts reach about six days ahead and cover US stadiums). Counted as 0.
- Coach / team: Blough's offense vs Golden's defense: no meetings since 2018. Scheme: West Coast offenses vs Multiple / disguise defenses, 72 games since 2018, 1% below expectation.
- Rest / bye: Not coming off a bye.
- Game time: This game is in primetime. In his 11 games in that window (of his last 34), he was 10% above his usual, schedule-adjusted. Weighted for sample size.
- Injuries / lineup: Top targets: back to full strength, after being short in 11 of his last 16 games (league-wide −5% in 1164 games; his own games: −17% in 29 without vs 5 with). Effect +8%. Offensive line: back to full strength, after being short in 8 of his last 16 games (league-wide −1% in 1851 games). Effect +0%. CIN secondary: back to full strength, after being short in 8 of his last 16 games (league-wide −1% in 1959 games). Effect +0%. Watch: this week's injury report is not posted yet (teams publish it Wednesday to Friday).
- News: Not connected yet (X news). Injury reports are counted under Injuries / lineup. Counted as 0.
Passing touchdowns
Consistent vs 40 quarterbacks · last 16 games · number on each bar = games
At least one: 82%, fair odds -457 (adjusted for this week)
| Factor | TD |
|---|---|
| Statistics | 1.37 |
| Matchup | −0.20 |
| Weather | 0 |
| Coach / team | +0.01 |
| Rest / bye | 0 |
| Game time | +0.19 |
| Injuries / lineup | +0.14 |
| News | 0 |
| Projection | 1.50 |
Why these numbers
- Statistics: Last 16 games. Schedule-adjusted: the defenses he faced allowed 3% more than average, so his raw 1.41 counts as 1.37. Recent form and longer average predict about equally, so standard weighting.
- Matchup: CIN allows 15% less to the whole offense than the league average, over 8 games (weighted for sample size).
- Weather: No forecast for this game yet (forecasts reach about six days ahead and cover US stadiums). Counted as 0.
- Coach / team: Blough's offense vs Golden's defense: no meetings since 2018. Scheme: West Coast offenses vs Multiple / disguise defenses, 72 games since 2018, 1% above expectation.
- Rest / bye: Not coming off a bye.
- Game time: This game is in primetime. In his 11 games in that window (of his last 34), he was 27% above his usual, schedule-adjusted. Weighted for sample size.
- Injuries / lineup: Top targets: back to full strength, after being short in 11 of his last 16 games (league-wide −8% in 1164 games; his own games: −23% in 29 without vs 5 with). Effect +12%. Offensive line: back to full strength, after being short in 8 of his last 16 games (league-wide +1% in 1851 games). Effect +0%. CIN secondary: back to full strength, after being short in 8 of his last 16 games (league-wide −2% in 1959 games). Effect −0%. Watch: this week's injury report is not posted yet (teams publish it Wednesday to Friday).
- News: Not connected yet (X news). Injury reports are counted under Injuries / lineup. Counted as 0.
Rushing yards
Consistent vs 25 quarterbacks · last 16 games, adjusted for schedule and this week · number on each bar = games
Calculator: payouts for one or two bets
A middle: Over a lower line and Under a higher line, both win in between. Set a bet to None to price a single bet. Odds are American (for example -110 or +150).
Bet a
Bet b
| Factor | yds |
|---|---|
| Statistics | 29.6 |
| Matchup | +15.9 |
| Weather | 0 |
| Coach / team | +2.1 |
| Rest / bye | 0 |
| Game time | −3.6 |
| Injuries / lineup | +0.3 |
| News | 0 |
| Projection | 44.3 |
Why these numbers
- Statistics: Last 16 games. Schedule-adjusted: the defenses he faced allowed 23% more than average, so his raw 36.4 counts as 29.6. Recent form and longer average predict about equally, so standard weighting.
- Matchup: CIN allows 54% more to quarterbacks than the league average, over 8 games (weighted for sample size).
- Weather: No forecast for this game yet (forecasts reach about six days ahead and cover US stadiums). Counted as 0.
- Coach / team: Blough's offense vs Golden's defense: no meetings since 2018. Scheme: West Coast offenses vs Multiple / disguise defenses, 72 games since 2018, 7% above expectation.
- Rest / bye: Not coming off a bye.
- Game time: This game is in primetime. In his 11 games in that window (of his last 34), he was 14% below his usual, schedule-adjusted. Weighted for sample size.
- Injuries / lineup: Offensive line: back to full strength, after being short in 8 of his last 16 games (league-wide −4% in 1851 games). Effect +2%. CIN defensive front: back to full strength, after being short in 6 of his last 16 games (league-wide +4% in 1400 games). Effect −2%. Watch: this week's injury report is not posted yet (teams publish it Wednesday to Friday).
- News: Not connected yet (X news). Injury reports are counted under Injuries / lineup. Counted as 0.
Anytime touchdown
Consistent vs 26 quarterbacks · last 16 games · number on each bar = games
Anytime touchdown: 24%, fair odds +312 (adjusted for this week)
| Factor | TD |
|---|---|
| Statistics | 0.26 |
| Matchup | +0.06 |
| Weather | 0 |
| Coach / team | +0.01 |
| Rest / bye | 0 |
| Game time | −0.05 |
| Injuries / lineup | 0 |
| News | 0 |
| Projection | 0.28 |
Why these numbers
- Statistics: Last 16 games. Schedule-adjusted: the defenses he faced allowed 21% more than average, so his raw 0.31 counts as 0.26. Steady: his longer average has predicted his next game better than his last few games, so all 16 count nearly equally.
- Matchup: CIN allows 24% more to quarterbacks than the league average, over 8 games (weighted for sample size).
- Weather: No forecast for this game yet (forecasts reach about six days ahead and cover US stadiums). Counted as 0.
- Coach / team: Blough's offense vs Golden's defense: no meetings since 2018. Scheme: West Coast offenses vs Multiple / disguise defenses, 72 games since 2018, 5% above expectation.
- Rest / bye: Not coming off a bye.
- Game time: This game is in primetime. In his 11 games in that window (of his last 34), he was 25% below his usual, schedule-adjusted. Weighted for sample size.
- Injuries / lineup: Offensive line: back to full strength, after being short in 8 of his last 16 games (league-wide −1% in 1851 games). Effect +1%. CIN defensive front: back to full strength, after being short in 6 of his last 16 games (league-wide +4% in 1400 games). Effect −2%. Watch: this week's injury report is not posted yet (teams publish it Wednesday to Friday).
- News: Not connected yet (X news). Injury reports are counted under Injuries / lineup. Counted as 0.
Recent games
| Game | Opp | Pass | Rush | Rec | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 10 | NYG | 249 | 28 | 0 | 3 |
| 2026 wk 9 | LA | 274 | 16 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026 wk 8 | PHI | 217 | 23 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026 wk 6 | SF | 300 | 10 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026 wk 5 | NYG | 199 | 103 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026 wk 2 | DAL | 96 | 69 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026 wk 1 | PHI | 164 | 31 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025 wk 14 | MIN | 78 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
Updated 2026-11-15. Bars are his real games. Yellow factors are not connected yet and count as zero.