RB · LAC
Omarion Hampton
Next: Week 10, LAC at BAL, .
Rushing yards
Moderate vs 62 running backs · last 16 games, adjusted for schedule and this week · number on each bar = games
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| Factor | yds |
|---|---|
| Statistics | 44.7 |
| Matchup | −3.3 |
| Weather | 0 |
| Coach / team | +1.5 |
| Rest / bye | 0 |
| Game time | −4.1 |
| Injuries / lineup | −1.4 |
| News | 0 |
| Projection | 37.4 |
Why these numbers
- Statistics: Last 16 games. Schedule-adjusted: the defenses he faced allowed 1% less than average, so his raw 44.4 counts as 44.7. Recent form and longer average predict about equally, so standard weighting.
- Matchup: BAL allows 7% less to running backs than the league average, over 9 games (weighted for sample size).
- Weather: Forecast at kickoff: 45°F, wind 5 mph, 0% chance of rain or snow, Mostly Clear. No wind of 13 mph or more and no freezing cold, now or in his recent games: no adjustment. Rain and snow are shown but not measured yet.
- Coach / team: McDaniel's offense vs Minter's defense: 1 meeting since 2018, 26% above what those teams usually produce and allow (weighted for sample size). Scheme: West Coast (Shanahan tree) offenses vs Multiple / disguise defenses, 238 games since 2018, 2% below expectation (fills the weight the direct meetings do not earn).
- Rest / bye: Not coming off a bye.
- Game time: This game is in primetime. In his 4 games in that window (of his last 18), he was 36% below his usual, schedule-adjusted. Weighted for sample size.
- Injuries / lineup: Offensive line: back to full strength, after being short in 10 of his last 16 games (league-wide −4% in 1851 games). Effect +3%. BAL defensive front: Tavius Robinson (on injured reserve) not expected to play (measured per player, weighted for sample size, snap share and how good he has been (Tavius Robinson: his team −14% in 10 games without him vs 16 with, 2.6 tackles a game net of misses (unit starters: 4.0)); already the case in 1 of his last 16 games). Effect −6%.
- News: Not connected yet (X news). Injury reports are counted under Injuries / lineup. Counted as 0.
Receiving yards
Moderate vs 66 running backs · last 16 games, adjusted for schedule and this week · number on each bar = games
Calculator: payouts for one or two bets
A middle: Over a lower line and Under a higher line, both win in between. Set a bet to None to price a single bet. Odds are American (for example -110 or +150).
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| Factor | yds |
|---|---|
| Statistics | 6.4 |
| Matchup | −1.8 |
| Weather | 0 |
| Coach / team | +0.3 |
| Rest / bye | 0 |
| Game time | −0.5 |
| Injuries / lineup | −0.4 |
| News | 0 |
| Projection | 4.1 |
Why these numbers
- Statistics: Last 16 games. Schedule-adjusted: the defenses he faced allowed 13% more than average, so his raw 7.3 counts as 6.4. Streaky: his recent games have predicted his next game better than his longer average, so recent games count more.
- Matchup: BAL allows 28% less to running backs than the league average, over 9 games (weighted for sample size).
- Weather: Forecast at kickoff: 45°F, wind 5 mph, 0% chance of rain or snow, Mostly Clear. No wind of 13 mph or more and no freezing cold, now or in his recent games: no adjustment. Rain and snow are shown but not measured yet.
- Coach / team: McDaniel's offense vs Minter's defense: 1 meeting since 2018, 26% above what those teams usually produce and allow (weighted for sample size). Scheme: West Coast (Shanahan tree) offenses vs Multiple / disguise defenses, 238 games since 2018, 1% above expectation (fills the weight the direct meetings do not earn).
- Rest / bye: Not coming off a bye.
- Game time: This game is in primetime. In his 4 games in that window (of his last 18), he was 58% below his usual, schedule-adjusted. Weighted for sample size.
- Injuries / lineup: Top targets: back to full strength, after being short in 10 of his last 16 games (league-wide +16% in 4154 games; his own games: +29% in 10 without vs 8 with). Effect −13%. Offensive line: back to full strength, after being short in 10 of his last 16 games (league-wide −1% in 1851 games). Effect +1%. BAL secondary: Jaylinn Hawkins (Out, knee) not expected to play (measured per player, weighted for sample size, snap share and how good he has been (Jaylinn Hawkins: his team +22% in 3 games without him vs 6 with, allows 8.9 yards per target (unit starters: 8.2)); already the case in 8 of his last 16 games). Effect +5%.
- News: Not connected yet (X news). Injury reports are counted under Injuries / lineup. Counted as 0.
Anytime touchdown
Consistent vs 60 running backs · last 16 games · number on each bar = games
Anytime touchdown: 30%, fair odds +228 (adjusted for this week)
| Factor | TD |
|---|---|
| Statistics | 0.31 |
| Matchup | +0.02 |
| Weather | 0 |
| Coach / team | +0.02 |
| Rest / bye | 0 |
| Game time | −0.03 |
| Injuries / lineup | −0.03 |
| News | 0 |
| Projection | 0.29 |
Why these numbers
- Statistics: Last 16 games. Schedule-adjusted: the defenses he faced allowed 5% more than average, so his raw 0.32 counts as 0.31. Recent form and longer average predict about equally, so standard weighting.
- Matchup: BAL allows 7% more to running backs than the league average, over 9 games (weighted for sample size).
- Weather: Forecast at kickoff: 45°F, wind 5 mph, 0% chance of rain or snow, Mostly Clear. No wind of 13 mph or more and no freezing cold, now or in his recent games: no adjustment. Rain and snow are shown but not measured yet.
- Coach / team: McDaniel's offense vs Minter's defense: 1 meeting since 2018, 60% above what those teams usually produce and allow (weighted for sample size). Scheme: West Coast (Shanahan tree) offenses vs Multiple / disguise defenses, 238 games since 2018, 1% below expectation (fills the weight the direct meetings do not earn).
- Rest / bye: Not coming off a bye.
- Game time: This game is in primetime. In his 4 games in that window (of his last 18), he was 45% below his usual, schedule-adjusted. Weighted for sample size.
- Injuries / lineup: Offensive line: back to full strength, after being short in 10 of his last 16 games (league-wide −1% in 1851 games). Effect +2%. BAL defensive front: Tavius Robinson (on injured reserve) not expected to play (measured per player, weighted for sample size, snap share and how good he has been (Tavius Robinson: his team −24% in 10 games without him vs 16 with, 2.6 tackles a game net of misses (unit starters: 4.0)); already the case in 1 of his last 16 games). Effect −11%.
- News: Not connected yet (X news). Injury reports are counted under Injuries / lineup. Counted as 0.
Recent games
| Game | Opp | Pass | Rush | Rec | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 9 | HOU | 0 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 8 | LA | 0 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 6 | KC | 0 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 5 | DEN | 0 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 4 | SEA | 0 | 45 | 8 | 1 |
| 2026 wk 3 | BUF | 0 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 2 | LV | 0 | 94 | 21 | 1 |
| 2026 wk 1 | ARI | 0 | 43 | 0 | 1 |
Updated 2026-11-15. Bars are his real games. Yellow factors are not connected yet and count as zero.