RB · NYG
Cam Skattebo
Next: Week 11, JAX at NYG, .
Rushing yards
Consistent vs 62 running backs · last 15 games, adjusted for schedule and this week · number on each bar = games
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A middle: Over a lower line and Under a higher line, both win in between. Set a bet to None to price a single bet. Odds are American (for example -110 or +150).
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| Factor | yds |
|---|---|
| Statistics | 70.9 |
| Matchup | −10.8 |
| Weather | 0 |
| Coach / team | +2.0 |
| Rest / bye | 0 |
| Game time | −3.5 |
| Injuries / lineup | −0.8 |
| News | 0 |
| Projection | 57.9 |
Why these numbers
- Statistics: Last 15 games. Schedule-adjusted: the defenses he faced allowed 2% less than average, so his raw 69.2 counts as 70.9. Recent form and longer average predict about equally, so standard weighting.
- Matchup: JAX allows 15% less to running backs than the league average, over 8 games (weighted for sample size).
- Weather: No forecast for this game yet (forecasts reach about six days ahead and cover US stadiums). Counted as 0.
- Coach / team: Nagy's offense vs Campanile's defense: no meetings since 2018. Scheme: West Coast (Reid tree) offenses vs Multiple / disguise defenses, 70 games since 2018, 5% above expectation.
- Rest / bye: Not coming off a bye.
- Game time: This game is in the early window. In his 9 games in that window (of his last 15), he was 11% below his usual, schedule-adjusted. Weighted for sample size.
- Injuries / lineup: Quarterback: back to full strength, after being short in 6 of his last 15 games (league-wide +3% in 763 games; his own games: +8% in 6 without vs 9 with). Effect −2%. Offensive line: back to full strength, after being short in 6 of his last 15 games (league-wide −4% in 1851 games). Effect +1%. JAX defensive front: back to full strength, after being short in 3 of his last 15 games (league-wide +4% in 1400 games). Effect −1%. Watch: this week's injury report is not posted yet (teams publish it Wednesday to Friday).
- News: Not connected yet (X news). Injury reports are counted under Injuries / lineup. Counted as 0.
Receiving yards
Consistent vs 66 running backs · last 15 games, adjusted for schedule and this week · number on each bar = games
Calculator: payouts for one or two bets
A middle: Over a lower line and Under a higher line, both win in between. Set a bet to None to price a single bet. Odds are American (for example -110 or +150).
Bet a
Bet b
| Factor | yds |
|---|---|
| Statistics | 20.2 |
| Matchup | +0.3 |
| Weather | 0 |
| Coach / team | −0.4 |
| Rest / bye | 0 |
| Game time | −2.3 |
| Injuries / lineup | −5.6 |
| News | 0 |
| Projection | 12.2 |
Why these numbers
- Statistics: Last 15 games. Schedule-adjusted: the defenses he faced allowed 1% more than average, so his raw 20.5 counts as 20.2. Recent form and longer average predict about equally, so standard weighting.
- Matchup: JAX allows 1% more to running backs than the league average, over 8 games (weighted for sample size).
- Weather: No forecast for this game yet (forecasts reach about six days ahead and cover US stadiums). Counted as 0.
- Coach / team: Nagy's offense vs Campanile's defense: no meetings since 2018. Scheme: West Coast (Reid tree) offenses vs Multiple / disguise defenses, 70 games since 2018, 3% below expectation.
- Rest / bye: Not coming off a bye.
- Game time: This game is in the early window. In his 9 games in that window (of his last 15), he was 21% below his usual, schedule-adjusted. Weighted for sample size.
- Injuries / lineup: Quarterback: back to full strength, after being short in 6 of his last 15 games (quarterback gap: Jameis Winston 7.1 yards per attempt vs J.J. McCarthy 7.0, last three seasons, weighted for sample size; his own games: −10% in 6 without vs 9 with). Effect +2%. Top targets: back to full strength, after being short in 8 of his last 15 games (league-wide +16% in 4154 games; his own games: +81% in 8 without vs 7 with). Effect −21%. Offensive line: back to full strength, after being short in 6 of his last 15 games (league-wide −1% in 1851 games). Effect +0%. JAX secondary: Eric Murray (on injured reserve) not expected to play (measured per player, weighted for sample size, snap share and how good he has been (Eric Murray: his team −22% in 8 games without him vs 18 with, allows 7.8 yards per target (unit starters: 6.7)); already the case in 5 of his last 15 games). Effect −10%. Watch: this week's injury report is not posted yet (teams publish it Wednesday to Friday).
- News: Not connected yet (X news). Injury reports are counted under Injuries / lineup. Counted as 0.
Anytime touchdown
Consistent vs 60 running backs · last 15 games · number on each bar = games
Anytime touchdown: 33%, fair odds +207 (adjusted for this week)
| Factor | TD |
|---|---|
| Statistics | 0.70 |
| Matchup | −0.18 |
| Weather | 0 |
| Coach / team | 0 |
| Rest / bye | 0 |
| Game time | −0.08 |
| Injuries / lineup | −0.06 |
| News | 0 |
| Projection | 0.38 |
Why these numbers
- Statistics: Last 15 games. Schedule-adjusted: the defenses he faced allowed 5% more than average, so his raw 0.73 counts as 0.70. Steady: his longer average has predicted his next game better than his last few games, so all 16 count nearly equally.
- Matchup: JAX allows 25% less to running backs than the league average, over 8 games (weighted for sample size).
- Weather: No forecast for this game yet (forecasts reach about six days ahead and cover US stadiums). Counted as 0.
- Coach / team: Nagy's offense vs Campanile's defense: no meetings since 2018. Scheme: West Coast (Reid tree) offenses vs Multiple / disguise defenses, 70 games since 2018, 1% above expectation.
- Rest / bye: Not coming off a bye.
- Game time: This game is in the early window. In his 9 games in that window (of his last 15), he was 57% below his usual, schedule-adjusted. Weighted for sample size.
- Injuries / lineup: Quarterback: back to full strength, after being short in 6 of his last 15 games (league-wide −17% in 763 games; his own games: +80% in 6 without vs 9 with). Effect −11%. Offensive line: back to full strength, after being short in 6 of his last 15 games (league-wide −1% in 1851 games). Effect +0%. JAX defensive front: back to full strength, after being short in 3 of his last 15 games (league-wide +4% in 1400 games). Effect −1%. Watch: this week's injury report is not posted yet (teams publish it Wednesday to Friday).
- News: Not connected yet (X news). Injury reports are counted under Injuries / lineup. Counted as 0.
Recent games
| Game | Opp | Pass | Rush | Rec | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 10 | WAS | 0 | 78 | 44 | 2 |
| 2026 wk 7 | HOU | 0 | 124 | -3 | 1 |
| 2026 wk 5 | WAS | 0 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 4 | ARI | 0 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 3 | TEN | 0 | 60 | 40 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 2 | LA | 0 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 | DAL | 0 | 81 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 8 | PHI | 0 | 12 | 18 | 1 |
Updated 2026-11-15. Bars are his real games. Yellow factors are not connected yet and count as zero.