RB · LV
Mike Washington Jr.
Next: Week 10, SEA at LV, .
Rushing yards
Boom or bust vs 62 running backs · last 9 games, adjusted for schedule and this week · number on each bar = games
Calculator: payouts for one or two bets
A middle: Over a lower line and Under a higher line, both win in between. Set a bet to None to price a single bet. Odds are American (for example -110 or +150).
Bet a
Bet b
| Factor | yds |
|---|---|
| Statistics | 30.0 |
| Matchup | −4.5 |
| Weather | 0 |
| Coach / team | −0.5 |
| Rest / bye | 0 |
| Game time | −1.2 |
| Injuries / lineup | +0.7 |
| News | 0 |
| Projection | 24.5 |
Why these numbers
- Statistics: Last 9 games. Schedule-adjusted: the defenses he faced allowed 3% more than average, so his raw 30.8 counts as 30.0. Too few games to judge streakiness, so standard weighting.
- Matchup: SEA allows 15% less to running backs than the league average, over 9 games (weighted for sample size).
- Weather: Indoor game: no weather effect.
- Coach / team: Kubiak's offense vs Macdonald's defense: no meetings since 2018. Scheme: West Coast (Shanahan tree) offenses vs Multiple / disguise defenses, 238 games since 2018, 2% below expectation.
- Rest / bye: Not coming off a bye.
- Game time: This game is in the late window. In his 7 games in that window (of his last 9), he was 10% below his usual, schedule-adjusted. Weighted for sample size.
- Injuries / lineup: Quarterback: Kirk Cousins is not expected to play (no longer on the roster) (league-wide +3% in 763 games; already the case in 0 of his last 9 games). Effect +3%. Offensive line: back to full strength, after being short in 5 of his last 9 games (league-wide −4% in 1851 games). Effect +2%. SEA defensive front: Leonard Williams (Out, stinger) not expected to play (measured per player, weighted for sample size, snap share and how good he has been (Leonard Williams: his team −46% in 1 games without him vs 28 with, 3.0 tackles a game net of misses (unit starters: 4.1)); already the case in 2 of his last 9 games). Effect −2%.
- News: Not connected yet (X news). Injury reports are counted under Injuries / lineup. Counted as 0.
Receiving yards
Boom or bust vs 66 running backs · last 9 games, adjusted for schedule and this week · number on each bar = games
Calculator: payouts for one or two bets
A middle: Over a lower line and Under a higher line, both win in between. Set a bet to None to price a single bet. Odds are American (for example -110 or +150).
Bet a
Bet b
| Factor | yds |
|---|---|
| Statistics | 1.2 |
| Matchup | −0.1 |
| Weather | 0 |
| Coach / team | +0.0 |
| Rest / bye | 0 |
| Game time | −0.2 |
| Injuries / lineup | −0.1 |
| News | 0 |
| Projection | 0.8 |
Why these numbers
- Statistics: Last 9 games. Schedule-adjusted: the defenses he faced allowed 6% more than average, so his raw 1.3 counts as 1.2. Too few games to judge streakiness, so standard weighting.
- Matchup: SEA allows 9% less to running backs than the league average, over 9 games (weighted for sample size).
- Weather: Indoor game: no weather effect.
- Coach / team: Kubiak's offense vs Macdonald's defense: no meetings since 2018. Scheme: West Coast (Shanahan tree) offenses vs Multiple / disguise defenses, 238 games since 2018, 1% above expectation.
- Rest / bye: Not coming off a bye.
- Game time: This game is in the late window. In his 7 games in that window (of his last 9), he was 36% below his usual, schedule-adjusted. Weighted for sample size.
- Injuries / lineup: Quarterback: Kirk Cousins is not expected to play (no longer on the roster) (quarterback gap: Kirk Cousins 7.3 yards per attempt vs Fernando Mendoza 6.3, last three seasons, weighted for sample size; already the case in 0 of his last 9 games). Effect −14%. Top targets: back to full strength, after being short in 2 of his last 9 games (league-wide +16% in 4154 games; his own games: −70% in 2 without vs 7 with). Effect +1%. Offensive line: back to full strength, after being short in 5 of his last 9 games (league-wide −1% in 1851 games). Effect +0%. SEA secondary: back to full strength, after being short in 3 of his last 9 games (league-wide −1% in 1959 games). Effect +0%.
- News: Not connected yet (X news). Injury reports are counted under Injuries / lineup. Counted as 0.
Anytime touchdown
Boom or bust vs 60 running backs · last 9 games · number on each bar = games
Anytime touchdown: 9%, fair odds +1066 (adjusted for this week)
| Factor | TD |
|---|---|
| Statistics | 0.05 |
| Matchup | 0 |
| Weather | 0 |
| Coach / team | 0 |
| Rest / bye | 0 |
| Game time | +0.01 |
| Injuries / lineup | −0.01 |
| News | 0 |
| Projection | 0.05 |
Why these numbers
- Statistics: Last 9 games. Schedule-adjusted: the defenses he faced allowed 39% more than average, so his raw 0.07 counts as 0.05. Too few games to judge streakiness, so standard weighting.
- Matchup: SEA allows 7% more to running backs than the league average, over 9 games (weighted for sample size).
- Weather: Indoor game: no weather effect.
- Coach / team: Kubiak's offense vs Macdonald's defense: no meetings since 2018. Scheme: West Coast (Shanahan tree) offenses vs Multiple / disguise defenses, 238 games since 2018, 1% below expectation.
- Rest / bye: Not coming off a bye.
- Game time: This game is in the late window. In his 7 games in that window (of his last 9), he was 29% above his usual, schedule-adjusted. Weighted for sample size.
- Injuries / lineup: Quarterback: Kirk Cousins is not expected to play (no longer on the roster) (league-wide −17% in 763 games; already the case in 0 of his last 9 games). Effect −17%. Offensive line: back to full strength, after being short in 5 of his last 9 games (league-wide −1% in 1851 games). Effect +1%. SEA defensive front: Leonard Williams (Out, stinger) not expected to play (measured per player, weighted for sample size, snap share and how good he has been (Leonard Williams: his team −100% in 1 games without him vs 28 with, 3.0 tackles a game net of misses (unit starters: 4.1)); already the case in 2 of his last 9 games). Effect −2%.
- News: Not connected yet (X news). Injury reports are counted under Injuries / lineup. Counted as 0.
Recent games
| Game | Opp | Pass | Rush | Rec | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 9 | SF | 0 | -3 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 8 | NYJ | 0 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 7 | LA | 0 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 6 | BUF | 0 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 5 | NE | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 4 | KC | 0 | 18 | -1 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 3 | NO | 0 | 54 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026 wk 2 | LAC | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Updated 2026-11-15. Bars are his real games. Yellow factors are not connected yet and count as zero.