WR · CLE
Denzel Boston
Injury report: Questionable, toe
Next: Week 10, HOU at CLE, .
Receiving yards
Consistent vs 113 wide receivers · last 9 games, adjusted for schedule and this week · number on each bar = games
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| Factor | yds |
|---|---|
| Statistics | 55.0 |
| Matchup | +7.1 |
| Weather | 0 |
| Coach / team | −7.4 |
| Rest / bye | 0 |
| Game time | −2.5 |
| Injuries / lineup | −0.7 |
| News | 0 |
| Projection | 51.6 |
Why these numbers
- Statistics: Last 9 games. Schedule-adjusted: the defenses he faced allowed 1% more than average, so his raw 55.4 counts as 55.0. Too few games to judge streakiness, so standard weighting.
- Matchup: HOU allows 13% more to wide receivers than the league average, over 8 games (weighted for sample size).
- Weather: Forecast at kickoff: 46°F, wind 12 mph, 31% chance of rain or snow, Chance Light Rain. No wind of 13 mph or more and no freezing cold, now or in his recent games: no adjustment. Rain and snow are shown but not measured yet.
- Coach / team: Monken's offense vs Ryans's defense: 4 meetings since 2018, 22% below what those teams usually produce and allow (weighted for sample size). Scheme: Air Raid / spread offenses vs Cover 3 single-high (Seattle tree) defenses, 70 games since 2018, 3% below expectation (fills the weight the direct meetings do not earn).
- Rest / bye: Not coming off a bye.
- Game time: This game is in the early window. In his 8 games in that window (of his last 9), he was 8% below his usual, schedule-adjusted. Weighted for sample size.
- Injuries / lineup: Quarterback: back to full strength, after being short in 1 of his last 9 games (quarterback gap: Deshaun Watson 6.6 yards per attempt vs Shedeur Sanders 6.7, last three seasons, weighted for sample size; his own games: +86% in 1 without vs 8 with). Effect −1%. Offensive line: back to full strength, after being short in 1 of his last 9 games (league-wide −1% in 1851 games). Effect +0%. HOU secondary: back to full strength, after being short in 3 of his last 9 games (league-wide −1% in 1959 games). Effect +0%. Watch: he himself is listed Questionable, toe.
- News: Not connected yet (X news). Injury reports are counted under Injuries / lineup. Counted as 0.
Anytime touchdown
Consistent vs 92 wide receivers · last 9 games · number on each bar = games
Anytime touchdown: 29%, fair odds +246 (adjusted for this week)
| Factor | TD |
|---|---|
| Statistics | 0.23 |
| Matchup | +0.02 |
| Weather | 0 |
| Coach / team | 0 |
| Rest / bye | 0 |
| Game time | +0.02 |
| Injuries / lineup | 0 |
| News | 0 |
| Projection | 0.26 |
Why these numbers
- Statistics: Last 9 games. Schedule-adjusted: the defenses he faced allowed 7% less than average, so his raw 0.22 counts as 0.23. Too few games to judge streakiness, so standard weighting.
- Matchup: HOU allows 7% more to wide receivers than the league average, over 8 games (weighted for sample size).
- Weather: Forecast at kickoff: 46°F, wind 12 mph, 31% chance of rain or snow, Chance Light Rain. No wind of 13 mph or more and no freezing cold, now or in his recent games: no adjustment. Rain and snow are shown but not measured yet.
- Coach / team: Monken's offense vs Ryans's defense: 4 meetings since 2018, 1% below what those teams usually produce and allow (weighted for sample size). Scheme: Air Raid / spread offenses vs Cover 3 single-high (Seattle tree) defenses, 70 games since 2018, 3% below expectation (fills the weight the direct meetings do not earn).
- Rest / bye: Not coming off a bye.
- Game time: This game is in the early window. In his 8 games in that window (of his last 9), he was 13% above his usual, schedule-adjusted. Weighted for sample size.
- Injuries / lineup: Quarterback: back to full strength, after being short in 1 of his last 9 games (quarterback gap: Deshaun Watson 3.1 touchdown passes per 100 attempts vs Shedeur Sanders 3.5, last three seasons, weighted for sample size; his own games: −70% in 1 without vs 8 with). Effect −0%. Offensive line: back to full strength, after being short in 1 of his last 9 games (league-wide −1% in 1851 games). Effect +0%. HOU secondary: back to full strength, after being short in 3 of his last 9 games (league-wide −1% in 1959 games). Effect +0%. Watch: he himself is listed Questionable, toe.
- News: Not connected yet (X news). Injury reports are counted under Injuries / lineup. Counted as 0.
Recent games
| Game | Opp | Pass | Rush | Rec | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 9 | NO | 0 | 0 | 98 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 8 | PIT | 0 | 0 | 37 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 7 | TEN | 0 | 0 | 27 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 6 | BAL | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 5 | NYJ | 0 | 0 | 46 | 1 |
| 2026 wk 4 | PIT | 0 | 0 | 89 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 3 | CAR | 0 | 0 | 41 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 2 | TB | 0 | 0 | 95 | 1 |
Updated 2026-11-15. Bars are his real games. Yellow factors are not connected yet and count as zero.