WR · WAS
Antonio Williams
Next: Week 11, CIN at WAS, .
Receiving yards
Consistent vs 113 wide receivers · last 9 games, adjusted for schedule and this week · number on each bar = games
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| Factor | yds |
|---|---|
| Statistics | 38.1 |
| Matchup | −1.6 |
| Weather | 0 |
| Coach / team | −0.2 |
| Rest / bye | 0 |
| Game time | +3.0 |
| Injuries / lineup | +3.0 |
| News | 0 |
| Projection | 42.2 |
Why these numbers
- Statistics: Last 9 games. Schedule-adjusted: the defenses he faced allowed 3% less than average, so his raw 36.9 counts as 38.1. Too few games to judge streakiness, so standard weighting.
- Matchup: CIN allows 4% less to wide receivers than the league average, over 8 games (weighted for sample size).
- Weather: No forecast for this game yet (forecasts reach about six days ahead and cover US stadiums). Counted as 0.
- Coach / team: Blough's offense vs Golden's defense: no meetings since 2018. Scheme: West Coast offenses vs Multiple / disguise defenses, 72 games since 2018, 1% below expectation.
- Rest / bye: Not coming off a bye.
- Game time: This game is in primetime. In his 3 games in that window (of his last 9), he was 35% above his usual, schedule-adjusted. Weighted for sample size.
- Injuries / lineup: Quarterback: back to full strength, after being short in 3 of his last 9 games (quarterback gap: Jayden Daniels 7.2 yards per attempt vs Marcus Mariota 7.1, last three seasons, weighted for sample size; his own games: −53% in 3 without vs 6 with). Effect +7%. Top targets: back to full strength, after being short in 3 of his last 9 games (league-wide +16% in 4154 games; his own games: −41% in 3 without vs 6 with). Effect +1%. Offensive line: back to full strength, after being short in 5 of his last 9 games (league-wide −1% in 1851 games). Effect +0%. CIN secondary: back to full strength, after being short in 5 of his last 9 games (league-wide −1% in 1959 games). Effect +0%. Watch: this week's injury report is not posted yet (teams publish it Wednesday to Friday).
- News: Not connected yet (X news). Injury reports are counted under Injuries / lineup. Counted as 0.
Anytime touchdown
Moderate vs 92 wide receivers · last 9 games · number on each bar = games
Anytime touchdown: 30%, fair odds +237 (adjusted for this week)
| Factor | TD |
|---|---|
| Statistics | 0.20 |
| Matchup | +0.01 |
| Weather | 0 |
| Coach / team | +0.01 |
| Rest / bye | 0 |
| Game time | +0.02 |
| Injuries / lineup | +0.03 |
| News | 0 |
| Projection | 0.27 |
Why these numbers
- Statistics: Last 9 games. Schedule-adjusted: the defenses he faced allowed 22% more than average, so his raw 0.25 counts as 0.20. Too few games to judge streakiness, so standard weighting.
- Matchup: CIN allows 7% more to wide receivers than the league average, over 8 games (weighted for sample size).
- Weather: No forecast for this game yet (forecasts reach about six days ahead and cover US stadiums). Counted as 0.
- Coach / team: Blough's offense vs Golden's defense: no meetings since 2018. Scheme: West Coast offenses vs Multiple / disguise defenses, 72 games since 2018, 5% above expectation.
- Rest / bye: Not coming off a bye.
- Game time: This game is in primetime. In his 3 games in that window (of his last 9), he was 50% above his usual, schedule-adjusted. Weighted for sample size.
- Injuries / lineup: Quarterback: back to full strength, after being short in 3 of his last 9 games (quarterback gap: Jayden Daniels 4.8 touchdown passes per 100 attempts vs Marcus Mariota 4.9, last three seasons, weighted for sample size; his own games: −70% in 3 without vs 6 with). Effect +8%. Top targets: back to full strength, after being short in 3 of his last 9 games (league-wide +10% in 4154 games; his own games: −70% in 3 without vs 6 with). Effect +6%. Offensive line: back to full strength, after being short in 5 of his last 9 games (league-wide −1% in 1851 games). Effect +1%. CIN secondary: back to full strength, after being short in 5 of his last 9 games (league-wide −1% in 1959 games). Effect −1%. Watch: this week's injury report is not posted yet (teams publish it Wednesday to Friday).
- News: Not connected yet (X news). Injury reports are counted under Injuries / lineup. Counted as 0.
Recent games
| Game | Opp | Pass | Rush | Rec | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 10 | NYG | 0 | 0 | 42 | 1 |
| 2026 wk 9 | LA | 0 | 0 | 25 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 8 | PHI | 0 | 0 | 54 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 6 | SF | 0 | 0 | 50 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 5 | NYG | 0 | 0 | 31 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 4 | IND | 0 | 0 | 21 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 3 | SEA | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 2 | DAL | 0 | 0 | 24 | 0 |
Updated 2026-11-15. Bars are his real games. Yellow factors are not connected yet and count as zero.