RB · SEA
Jadarian Price
Next: Week 10, SEA at LV, .
Rushing yards
Consistent vs 62 running backs · last 5 games, adjusted for schedule and this week · number on each bar = games
Calculator: payouts for one or two bets
A middle: Over a lower line and Under a higher line, both win in between. Set a bet to None to price a single bet. Odds are American (for example -110 or +150).
Bet a
Bet b
| Factor | yds |
|---|---|
| Statistics | 32.9 |
| Matchup | +8.3 |
| Weather | 0 |
| Coach / team | −0.8 |
| Rest / bye | 0 |
| Game time | +0.2 |
| Injuries / lineup | −4.4 |
| News | 0 |
| Projection | 36.2 |
Why these numbers
- Statistics: Last 5 games. Schedule-adjusted: the defenses he faced allowed 3% less than average, so his raw 32.0 counts as 32.9. Too few games to judge streakiness, so standard weighting.
- Matchup: LV allows 25% more to running backs than the league average, over 9 games (weighted for sample size).
- Weather: Indoor game: no weather effect.
- Coach / team: Fleury's offense vs Leonard's defense: no meetings since 2018. Scheme: West Coast (Shanahan tree) offenses vs Multiple / disguise defenses, 238 games since 2018, 2% below expectation.
- Rest / bye: Not coming off a bye.
- Game time: This game is in the late window. In his 2 games in that window (of his last 5), he was 3% above his usual, schedule-adjusted. Weighted for sample size.
- Injuries / lineup: Quarterback: Sam Darnold is not expected to play (Out, ribs) (league-wide +3% in 763 games; his own games: +75% in 3 without vs 2 with; already the case in 3 of his last 5 games). Effect +7%. Lead running back: back to full strength, after being short in 2 of his last 5 games (league-wide +101% in 1074 games; his own games: −32% in 2 without vs 3 with). Effect −21%. Offensive line: Charles Cross (Out, ankle), Christian Haynes (no longer on the roster) not expected to play (measured per player, weighted for sample size, snap share and how good he has been (Charles Cross: his team +24% in 5 games without him vs 24 with; Christian Haynes: his team −4% in 20 games without him vs 9 with); already the case in 3 of his last 5 games). Effect +7%. LV defensive front: back to full strength, after being short in 1 of his last 5 games (league-wide +4% in 1400 games). Effect −1%.
- News: Not connected yet (X news). Injury reports are counted under Injuries / lineup. Counted as 0.
Receiving yards
Moderate vs 66 running backs · last 5 games, adjusted for schedule and this week · number on each bar = games
Calculator: payouts for one or two bets
A middle: Over a lower line and Under a higher line, both win in between. Set a bet to None to price a single bet. Odds are American (for example -110 or +150).
Bet a
Bet b
| Factor | yds |
|---|---|
| Statistics | 19.2 |
| Matchup | +0.0 |
| Weather | 0 |
| Coach / team | +0.2 |
| Rest / bye | 0 |
| Game time | +1.2 |
| Injuries / lineup | −2.4 |
| News | 0 |
| Projection | 18.2 |
Why these numbers
- Statistics: Last 5 games. Schedule-adjusted: the defenses he faced allowed 4% more than average, so his raw 19.9 counts as 19.2. Too few games to judge streakiness, so standard weighting.
- Matchup: LV allows 0% more to running backs than the league average, over 9 games (weighted for sample size).
- Weather: Indoor game: no weather effect.
- Coach / team: Fleury's offense vs Leonard's defense: no meetings since 2018. Scheme: West Coast (Shanahan tree) offenses vs Multiple / disguise defenses, 238 games since 2018, 1% above expectation.
- Rest / bye: Not coming off a bye.
- Game time: This game is in the late window. In his 2 games in that window (of his last 5), he was 87% above his usual, schedule-adjusted. Weighted for sample size.
- Injuries / lineup: Quarterback: Sam Darnold is not expected to play (Out, ribs) (quarterback gap: Sam Darnold 7.8 yards per attempt vs Drew Lock 6.4, last three seasons, weighted for sample size; his own games: +150% in 3 without vs 2 with; already the case in 3 of his last 5 games). Effect +8%. Top targets: back to full strength, after being short in 2 of his last 5 games (league-wide +16% in 4154 games; his own games: +150% in 2 without vs 3 with). Effect −17%. Offensive line: Charles Cross (Out, ankle), Christian Haynes (no longer on the roster) not expected to play (measured per player, weighted for sample size, snap share and how good he has been (Charles Cross: his team −20% in 5 games without him vs 24 with; Christian Haynes: his team +5% in 20 games without him vs 9 with); already the case in 3 of his last 5 games). Effect −3%. LV secondary: back to full strength, after being short in 2 of his last 5 games (league-wide −1% in 1959 games). Effect +0%.
- News: Not connected yet (X news). Injury reports are counted under Injuries / lineup. Counted as 0.
Anytime touchdown
Consistent vs 60 running backs · last 5 games · number on each bar = games
Anytime touchdown: 8%, fair odds +1100 (adjusted for this week)
| Factor | TD |
|---|---|
| Statistics | 0.00 |
| Matchup | 0 |
| Weather | 0 |
| Coach / team | 0 |
| Rest / bye | 0 |
| Game time | 0 |
| Injuries / lineup | 0 |
| News | 0 |
| Projection | 0.00 |
Why these numbers
- Statistics: Last 5 games. His schedule was about average. Too few games to judge streakiness, so standard weighting.
- Matchup: LV allows 15% more to running backs than the league average, over 9 games (weighted for sample size).
- Weather: Indoor game: no weather effect.
- Coach / team: Fleury's offense vs Leonard's defense: no meetings since 2018. Scheme: West Coast (Shanahan tree) offenses vs Multiple / disguise defenses, 238 games since 2018, 1% below expectation.
- Rest / bye: Not coming off a bye.
- Game time: This game is in the late window. No games in that window among his last 5, so no adjustment.
- Injuries / lineup: Quarterback: Sam Darnold is not expected to play (Out, ribs) (league-wide −17% in 763 games; already the case in 3 of his last 5 games). Effect −8%. Lead running back: back to full strength, after being short in 2 of his last 5 games (league-wide +108% in 1074 games). Effect −30%. Offensive line: Charles Cross (Out, ankle), Christian Haynes (no longer on the roster) not expected to play (measured per player, weighted for sample size, snap share and how good he has been (Charles Cross: his team −9% in 5 games without him vs 24 with; Christian Haynes: his team −4% in 20 games without him vs 9 with); already the case in 3 of his last 5 games). Effect −1%. LV defensive front: back to full strength, after being short in 1 of his last 5 games (league-wide +4% in 1400 games). Effect −1%.
- News: Not connected yet (X news). Injury reports are counted under Injuries / lineup. Counted as 0.
Recent games
| Game | Opp | Pass | Rush | Rec | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 9 | ARI | 0 | 24 | 54 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 8 | CHI | 0 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 3 | WAS | 0 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 2 | ARI | 0 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 | NE | 0 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Updated 2026-11-15. Bars are his real games. Yellow factors are not connected yet and count as zero.